论文部分内容阅读
This paper discusses some problems of the reform of pension system.First of all, analyzing the trends of wage growth and using the date to do regression, we establish the Wage-Logistic model, which is used for predicting the future annual average wage.Then, we establish the model of pension balance to analyze the deficit of pension and the years of reaching the balance of payment pension.Finally, we conclude four factors affecting the balance of pension payment, which are the payment rate of social pool funds, the rate of pension fund, the beginning paying pension age and retirement age.According to the result of sensitivity analysis, we put forward suggestions for improvement.