俄罗斯出口增长的二元边际与影响因素研究

来源 :大连理工大学 | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:kuibugo
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
These years, globalization progresses and investment are mobile, thus, it is ever moreimportant for economists and policy makers to understand driver forces of exports growth atthe micro-level: which products are being produced and exported the most? Which firmspopulate the domestic economy? Are they successful in exporting? How are industriesinfluenced by exogenous shocks and policy problems?  Through the use of descriptivestatistics and econometric analysis, this paper estimates and observes the trade performance ofRussia at the export level using micro-data.The case of Russia is interesting since the lastdecade and financial crises exposed sufficiently the vulnerability of Russias export growthwhen it faced the external shocks.Basing on the Amurgo-Pacheco and Pierolas definitionand method, we applied the HS-4 international trade data for 2007-2012 years to describe andanalyze the dual margin of Russias export.We found out that Russia export growth mainlydepends onthe intensive trade margin, the share of extensive margin is very poor.Theobvious bias to the intensive margin of Russia helped us to see and understand the wick sidesof Russias export structure and why it is easily affected with external shocks.  Moreover, we utilized the Gravity Model of Trade in order to understand the reasonbehind Russias export flows.We tried to find out if the common gravity variables havesimilar effect on Russian exports the way they do for the most advanced states.As Russianexports consist mainly of raw materials, one could assume that they behave differently fromthe exports of western countries.After examining the main sources of Russian growth inrecent years, we investigated the question of whether and under which conditions Russia,being the resource-based economy, can sustain the proper growth performance.After this, wediscuss the required policies for successful development further.  The main findings of the paper are the following.Like many other countries, the growthof size of foreign markets and decreasing the trade costs (such as distance between thepartners) have notable positive effect on the change in probability to have more diversifiedand raised export level.The Index of Freedom has also very significant effect among otherobserved determinants.All in this, the export performance of my country can be associatedwith internal problems with trade-related incentives and other internal constrains.Therefore,the liberalizing of domestic economic, social and business environment increases theprobability of exporting new goods.
其他文献
1994年我国税收体制的全面改革,确立了增值税在我国税收体系中的主体地位,但是,我国现行增值税属于不完整型增值税,离规范化的要求存在一定的差距,从而使增值税的优势难以发挥
大自然就是这样,让人不住地惊叹它的神奇。终于迎来了今年的第一场雪,地上洒满了洁白的雪花。我和妈妈一起兴致勃勃地在积雪中塑造了这只人见人爱的逃家小兔。不仔细看还不知道这是一只雪兔子呢。我把这张照片拿给许多人看,他们都以为这是一只外出觅食的小野兔呢,白胖的身子、红眼睛、短尾巴、萌萌哒。我的小兔是那么纯洁那么美丽,这个冬天不再寒冷。  指导老师:黄晓岚
期刊
该论文将在对当前国内外经常用来研究消费结构的扩展线性支出系统和几乎理想需求系统从建模所依据的基本经济理论、模型的推导过程以及模型的特点和适用性等方面进行对比分析
随着新课标的进行,创新性成为教学活动中一个不可忽视的理念,同样,初中英语教学也应该重视这一理念,要不断对如养学生创新能力进行探究。教育改革在不断发展,要培养学生的创
期刊
我国家庭在资产配置方面存在严重的不均衡问题,表现为住房资产占比过高、股票市场及其他金融市场参与不足。其实家庭资产的不合理配置与我国经济发展的大背景息息相关,1978年我