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建立了 SARS流行病的数学模型 ,根据部分国家和地区的 SARS疫情数据 ,计算出其模型参数 ,给出了各地 SARS疫情与模拟结果的比较图 ,模拟结果与实际疫情十分吻合 .分析了 SARS流行特征 ,并对疫情发展进行了预测 .
The mathematical model of SARS epidemic was established and its model parameters were calculated according to the SARS epidemic data of some countries and regions.The SARS outbreak and simulation results were compared with each other.The simulation results are in good agreement with the actual epidemic situation.The epidemic of SARS Characteristics, and forecast the epidemic development.