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依据1978～2009年我国人均消费和人均国内生产总值的相关数据,运用协整理论和格兰杰因果检验相关知识,对我国人均消费和人均国内生产总值关系进行检验。结果表明,1978～2009年我国人均消费和人均国内生产总值之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系;Granger-Sims因果检验结果表明,在我国人均消费和人均国内生产总值这一相互影响和作用的过程中,从长期来看,体现为人均国内生产总值对人均消费的影响。鉴于此,提出国家通过扩大出口、鼓励投资来提升人均国内生产总值,并以此来提升人均消费水平。
Based on the data of China’s per capita consumption and GDP per capita from 1978 to 2009, the paper uses the cointegration theory and Granger causality test to test the relationship between per capita consumption and GDP per capita in China. The results show that there is a long-term and stable equilibrium between the per capita consumption and GDP per capita in China from 1978 to 2009. The results of Granger-Sims causality test show that in China the per-capita consumption and per-capita GDP affect each other In the long run, this process manifests itself as the impact of per capita GDP on GDP per capita. In view of this, it is proposed that the state raise the per capita consumption level by expanding exports and encouraging investment to raise GDP per capita.