论文部分内容阅读
全球石油需求量正进一步上升,而供应量接近见底。石油地质学家,原沙特阿美石油公司的石油开采与生产总负责人霍西尼,很长时间以来就对石油工业的最高开采量持怀疑态度。2000年,霍西尼更是有了一个惊人的发现:上世纪90年代中期,他就开始研究全球最大的250个油田,观察每个油田里还剩多少原油,枯竭速度有多快,有多少油田将被开采。当他把这些数字加起来后,他认识到“很多石油专家不是看错全球石油储量和生产数量,就是把二者混淆。”主流预测显示,石油产量每年都是稳定向上攀
Global oil demand is rising further, while supply bottoms out. Hussini, a petroleum geologist and former head of oil exploration and production at Saudi Aramco, has for so long been skeptical of the highest oil production in the oil industry. In 2000, Hussini made the most remarkable discovery that in the mid-1990s, he began to study the world’s 250 largest fields of oil and observed how much crude oil left in each field, how quickly and how quickly The oil field will be mined. When he added these figures together, he realized that “many oil experts confuse the two not by misrepresenting global oil reserves and production volumes.” "The mainstream forecasts show that oil production is steadily climbing every year