中国房地产市场分析与2008展望

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2007年,针对房地产市场运行中的主要矛盾,中国政府加强了调控政策,但同时房地产市场土地供应量不足,多种需求集中释放,投资投机需求大量入市,地价房价“倒挂”现象严重,导致全国房价总体涨幅较大,部分热点城市房价持续拉高。物价上涨、通货膨胀预期和相对于资产价格的货币贬值,从紧的货币政策,资金流动性过剩,外资投资国内房地产市场的扩张等,是影响房地产市场的重要因素。2008年房地产市场持续发展的支撑因素没有根本改变,供应紧张的状况将得到一定程度缓解,低收入家庭的住房预期逐渐向好。 In 2007, in response to the major contradictions in the operation of the real estate market, the Chinese government stepped up its control policies. However, at the same time, the supply of land in the real estate market was insufficient and many kinds of demand were released in a concentrated manner. Large amounts of investment speculation were required to enter the market. As a result, the national housing prices generally rose a lot, and the prices in some hot cities continued to rise. Price inflation, inflation expectations and the devaluation of currencies relative to asset prices, tight monetary policy, excess liquidity and the expansion of foreign investment in the domestic real estate market are all important factors affecting the real estate market. The supporting factors for the sustained development of the real estate market in 2008 have not fundamentally changed. The tight supply situation will be alleviated to some extent, and the housing expectation of low-income families will gradually improve.
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