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如何确定国防费的总体规模,历来是军事经济理论界研究的重要课题。本文运用新的思维方法,借助大量的历史统计资料,采用科学抽象和计量经济方法,研究了国防费的增长历史,揭示国防费的周期波动规律,进而建立国防费的周期增长理论。并运用这一理论分析了中国、美国、原苏联等国的国防费增长周期,建立了国防费周期增长模型,进行国防费预测。提出了社会经济与军事经济的周期增长存在着内在统一性等观点。
How to determine the overall scale of defense expenditures has always been an important issue in the study of military economic theory circles. Based on a large number of historical statistics, using scientific abstraction and econometrics, this paper studies the history of the growth of defense expenditure, reveals the cyclical fluctuations of defense expenditure, and then establishes the theory of cycle growth of defense expenditures. And by using this theory, this paper analyzes the growth cycle of defense expenditure in China, the United States, the former Soviet Union and other countries, establishes a model of the growth cycle of defense expenditure and forecasts the defense expenditure. Put forward the view that there is inherent unity in the cycle growth of the social economy and the military economy.