随着我国计算机与互联网的普及与发展,伴随着社会经济发展步入新的历史阶段,电子商务的成交量呈“井喷”趋势。在电子商务迅速发展的背后,则是缺乏科学的指导和准确的预测。本文阐述了近年来电子商务成交量预测的方法,并探讨了方法的优劣和应用难点,并对各方法进行了总结。 With the popularization and development of computer and Internet in our country, with the social and economic development entering a new historical stage, the volume of e-commerce is in a trend of “blowout”. Behind the rapid development of e-commerce, there is a lack of scientific guidance and accurate prediction. This article describes the methods of e-commerce volume forecasting in recent years, and discusses the advantages and disadvantages of the methods and application difficulties, and summarizes the methods.