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对1995~2012年中国30省份的人均CO2排放、人均GDP与人文发展指数进行单位根检验,并对30省份的平稳面板数据进行格兰杰因果关系检验,研究结果表明:经济增长和福利均为碳排放的单向格兰杰原因;经济增长和福利之间为双向格兰杰因果关系;资源型省份在取得与非资源型省份同样的经济增长时,将比非资源型省份产生较多的碳排放,同时资源型省份在取得福利水平提高时碳排放有同向变动趋势,而非资源型省份的福利水平与碳排放呈反向变动趋势。
The unit root test was made on per capita CO2 emissions, per capita GDP and human development index in 30 provinces of China from 1995 to 2012, and the Granger causality test was conducted on the panel data of 30 provinces. The results showed that both economic growth and welfare Carbon emissions; two-way Granger causality between economic growth and welfare; resource-based provinces will generate more economic growth than non-resource-based provinces when they achieve the same economic growth as non-resource-based provinces Carbon emissions, while resource-based provinces have made the same trend in carbon emissions when the level of benefits obtained increases, while the welfare level in non-resource-based provinces shows a reverse trend in carbon emissions.