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本文基于1985-2013年中国29个省份的面板数据,建立面板协整与误差修正模型的实证分析表明,对我国地方政府竞争、贸易开放与区域经济增长之间的长期稳定关系和短期波动影响作了实证分析,结果表明:就全国而言,长期内地方政府竞争和贸易开放均显著促进了我国经济发展,贸易开放的中介效应显著;东中西部地区的地方政府竞争、贸易开放与经济增长之间存在长期均衡关系,对东中部地区,地方政府竞争促进经济增长程度大于贸易开放,均高于全国平均水平;西部地区情况与全国不同,地方政府竞争显著抑制经济增长,贸易开放则影响不显著。人力资本积累、固定资本存量增长均有助于整体经济发展,政府经济参与度增加则抑制经济增长。最后论文就其原因和政策含义进行阐述。
Based on the panel data of 29 provinces in China from 1985 to 2013, the empirical analysis of panel cointegration and error correction model shows that the long-term and stable relationship between local government competition, trade openness and regional economic growth and the impact of short-term fluctuations The empirical analysis shows that: for the whole country, the competition and opening up of local governments have significantly promoted the economic growth and the opening up of trade in our country. The mediation effect is remarkable. The competition among local governments, the opening up of trade and the economic growth in eastern, central and western regions Long-term equilibrium relationship exists between the two. In the central and eastern regions, competition among local governments promotes economic growth more than trade liberalization, both of which are higher than the national average. In western China, the situation is different from that of other parts of the country. Competition by local governments significantly inhibits economic growth while trade liberalization has no significant effect . The accumulation of human capital and the growth of fixed capital stock all contribute to the overall economic development. The increase of the government’s economic participation will restrain the economic growth. The final essay elaborates on its causes and policy implications.