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水资源安全状况是城市社会经济可持续发展的基础保障。鉴于山东省淄博市的特殊情况,并根据淄博市的社会经济背景、水资源的特点,基于PSR模型建立了山东省淄博市水资源安全状况的评价指标体系,采用AHP确定指标权重,最后结合多层次模糊综合评价法对2014年山东淄博的水资源安全状况进行了评价。结果表明,淄博的水资源处于重度不安全状态,这极大地限制了该市的经济社会可持续发展能力。其中,影响水资源安全的因素为万元GDP用水量、工业废水排放量、化肥使用负荷、水资源可利用量、人均水资源量、环保投入占GDP比重。
The status of water resources security is the basic guarantee for the sustainable development of urban social economy. In view of the special circumstances of Zibo City, Shandong Province, and based on the socio-economic background of Zibo City and the characteristics of water resources, an evaluation index system of water resources security in Zibo City, Shandong Province was established based on PSR model. AHP was used to determine indicator weights and finally The level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method evaluates the water resources safety status in Zibo, Shandong Province in 2014. The results show that Zibo’s water resources are in a state of severe insecurity, which greatly limits the city’s economic and social sustainable development. Among them, the factors that affect the safety of water resources are water consumption per 10,000 yuan of GDP, industrial waste water discharge, fertilizer use load, water resources availability, water resources per capita, and environmental protection investment in GDP.