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我国经济结构由二元向三元的转变及城市化进程的加快,导致贫富差距进一步拉大,农村与城市发展显著失衡,使得许多社会问题凸现。本文正是在这样的环境和背景下,运用计量的方法,对1990～2006年我国经济发展的影响因素进行了实证探讨,并分析了我国第三产业的就业人员比重、城乡居民的消费水平比重对我国GDP增长的影响,据此为我国现阶段的经济发展方向提出相关建议。希望通过在这样特殊的时期,探讨我国工农业二元经济结构的转变对经济发展的影响,从而对经济增长是否健康、是否合理进行审视,进而为政府的进一步经济改革提供可以借鉴的政策和建议。
The transformation of China’s economy from a dual economy to a three-way economy and an acceleration of urbanization have led to a further widening of the gap between the rich and the poor and a marked imbalance between rural and urban development, highlighting many social problems. Based on such circumstance and background, this essay empirically studies the influencing factors of China’s economic development from 1990 to 2006 and analyzes the proportion of employed persons in the tertiary industry and the proportion of urban and rural residents’ consumption level On the impact of China’s GDP growth, accordingly for China’s current economic development direction of the relevant recommendations. It is hoped that through this special period, we will explore the impact of the transformation of the dual economic structure of industry and agriculture on the economic development so as to examine whether the economic growth is healthy or not and then provide some reference and suggestions for the further economic reform of the government .