笔者探讨了现有项目风险管理理论和方法的主要不足,指出项目风险管理必须从项目不确定性与项目目标之间的关系入手,并以项目价值实现为目标导向进行管理。这对实现项目风险管理的核心目标——项目管理的根本目标和提高项目成功率,将起到积极的推动作用,并结合项目所固有的不确定性因素,构建了价值导向的项目风险管理机制模型。 The author discusses the main problems of existing project risk management theories and methods. It points out that project risk management must start with the relationship between project uncertainty and project objectives, and take project value realization as the goal-oriented management. This will play an active role in promoting the core objective of project risk management - the fundamental goal of project management and improving the project success rate. In combination with the inherent uncertainty of the project, a value-oriented project risk management mechanism model.