大豆锈病传入美国大陆的长期预测模型研究

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大豆锈病是由Phakopsora pachyrhizi 引起的具有极大破坏性的病害.本研究证实了大豆锈菌孢子洲际间传播长期预测是可行的.用于该预测的气候--传播综合模型系统是由粒子传播模式(HYSPLIT-4)和区域气候预测模式(MM5)综合而成.应用结果表明,在有具体的菌源分布的情况下,综合模型系统可以作为大豆锈菌,甚至其他气传病害远程传播预测的一个有用的工具.
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