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目前世界上50%以上的人口生活在中等收入国家(地区),中等收入水平发展阶段面临着经济结构调整、产业升级和收入水平提高一系列新挑战,因此,围绕“中等收入陷阱”和世界经济长期增长趋势的理论与实证研究,引起了各国学者的广泛关注。本文基于对世界经济长期增长路径和各阶段特征的分析,界定了“中等收入陷阱”及其主要特征,通过大量国别的例证,考察中等收入水平阶段出现“增长减缓”的根源。这些理论和实证研究对于我国积极应对“中等收入陷阱”挑战具有借鉴和启示意义。
At present, more than 50% of the world’s population live in middle-income countries and regions. Middle-income level development faces a series of new challenges in economic restructuring, industrial upgrading and income raising. Therefore, focusing on the “middle income trap” and the world economy The theoretical and empirical research on the long-term growth trend has drawn wide attention from scholars in various countries. Based on the long-term economic growth path and the characteristics of each stage of the world economy, this paper defines the “middle income trap” and its main features. Through a large number of country examples, we examine the causes of “slowdown” in the middle-income stage. These theoretical and empirical studies have reference and inspiration significance for our country to actively respond to the challenge of “middle-income trap”.